Friday 28 April 2017, 21:30
BayArena
Full time
43%
28%
29%
Home win
43.1%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
29.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| FC Schalke 04 | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.4% | 11.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.9% | 8.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / FC Schalke 04 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Schalke 04 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.4
|
7.9
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
13.2
|
7.1
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
8.9
|
5.1
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
4.3
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
FC Schalke 04
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Oct 2022
Bayer Leverkusen
4-0
FC Schalke 04
Apr 2021
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
FC Schalke 04
Dec 2020
FC Schalke 04
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Jun 2020
FC Schalke 04
1-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Dec 2019
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
FC Schalke 04
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.