Saturday 8 April 2017, 16:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
67%
19%
15%
Home win
66.7%
Draw
18.7%
Away win
14.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.7% | 5.35 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 14.6% | 6.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.0% | 7.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| No | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / Bayer Leverkusen | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayer Leverkusen | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
2.8
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.8
|
8.3
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
7.7
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.4
|
4.7
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.1
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
4-1
RB Leipzig
Dec 2025
RB Leipzig
1-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Jan 2025
RB Leipzig
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Aug 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-3
RB Leipzig
Jan 2024
RB Leipzig
2-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Aug 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
3-2
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.