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Saturday 1 April 2017, 16:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
80% 15% 6%
Home win
79.5%
Draw
14.5%
Away win
5.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 79.5% 1.26
Draw 14.5% 6.88
SV Darmstadt 98 5.9% 16.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.54
Over 1.5 82.0% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.0% 5.56
Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 3.5 37.6% 2.66
Under 3.5 62.4% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.3% 4.93
Under 4.5 79.7% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.5% 2.47
No 59.5% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 94.1% 1.06
RB Leipzig / SV Darmstadt 98 85.5% 1.17
Draw / SV Darmstadt 98 20.5% 4.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
2.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
11.0
6.9
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
14.4
8.2
2.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
12.1
6.9
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
7.7
4.4
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
3.9
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: SV Darmstadt 98 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.