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Saturday 11 March 2017, 16:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
71% 19% 10%
Home win
71.3%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
9.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 71.3% 1.40
Draw 19.0% 5.26
VfL Wolfsburg 9.7% 10.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.95
Over 1.5 78.3% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.7% 4.61
Over 2.5 54.3% 1.84
Under 2.5 45.7% 2.19
Over 3.5 32.0% 3.12
Under 3.5 68.0% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.1% 6.21
Under 4.5 83.9% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.2% 2.26
No 55.8% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 90.3% 1.11
RB Leipzig / VfL Wolfsburg 81.0% 1.23
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 28.7% 3.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
3.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
12.0
9.0
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.6
9.3
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
9.9
6.7
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
5.4
3.7
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
2.3
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.