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Friday 24 February 2017, 21:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
53% 24% 23%
Home win
53.0%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
22.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 53.0% 1.89
Draw 24.4% 4.09
Werder Bremen 22.6% 4.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.38
Over 1.5 79.3% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.7% 4.84
Over 2.5 55.6% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.4% 2.25
Over 3.5 33.2% 3.01
Under 3.5 66.8% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.0% 5.89
Under 4.5 83.0% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.5% 1.77
No 43.5% 2.30

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 77.4% 1.29
VfL Wolfsburg / Werder Bremen 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Werder Bremen 47.0% 2.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
5.4
3.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
1
9.2
11.5
6.0
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.9
9.8
5.4
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
5.3
5.9
3.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
2.4
2.7
1.5
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.9
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.