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Saturday 21 January 2017, 16:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
19% 19% 62%
Home win
19.1%
Draw
18.7%
Away win
62.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 19.1% 5.23
Draw 18.7% 5.34
Borussia Dortmund 62.1% 1.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.7% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.3% 43.46
Over 1.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 1.5 9.0% 11.12
Over 2.5 75.7% 1.32
Under 2.5 24.3% 4.12
Over 3.5 56.0% 1.79
Under 3.5 44.0% 2.27
Over 4.5 36.5% 2.74
Under 4.5 63.5% 1.57

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 70.0% 1.43
No 30.0% 3.34

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 37.9% 2.64
Werder Bremen / Borussia Dortmund 81.3% 1.23
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 80.9% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.3
4.4
6.2
5.3
3.4
1.7
1
2.2
7.2
8.7
7.5
4.8
2.5
2
1.9
4.8
6.1
5.2
3.4
1.7
3
0.9
2.2
2.9
2.4
1.6
0.8
4
0.3
0.8
1.0
0.9
0.6
0.3
5
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.