Saturday 4 March 2017, 16:30
Opel Arena
Full time
54%
25%
21%
Home win
53.9%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
20.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 20.8% | 4.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.5% | 13.28 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.4% | 7.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.6% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / VfL Wolfsburg | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / VfL Wolfsburg | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.5
|
6.0
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
12.1
|
5.6
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.0
|
9.7
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
5.5
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
FSV Mainz 05
3-1
VfL Wolfsburg
Aug 2025
VfL Wolfsburg
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Apr 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
VfL Wolfsburg
Dec 2024
VfL Wolfsburg
4-3
FSV Mainz 05
May 2024
VfL Wolfsburg
1-3
FSV Mainz 05
Jan 2024
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
VfL Wolfsburg
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.