Sunday 29 January 2017, 18:30
Opel Arena
Full time
28%
22%
50%
Home win
28.0%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
50.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.3% | 8.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.8% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| No | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / Borussia Dortmund | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
4.9
|
5.7
|
4.0
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
3.4
|
8.9
|
8.8
|
6.2
|
3.3
|
1.4
|
| 2 |
3.1
|
6.5
|
6.9
|
4.9
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
3.4
|
3.6
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.3
|
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2025
FSV Mainz 05
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Mar 2025
Borussia Dortmund
3-1
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2024
FSV Mainz 05
3-1
Borussia Dortmund
May 2024
FSV Mainz 05
3-0
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.