Friday 2 December 2016, 21:30
Opel Arena
Full time
20%
22%
59%
Home win
19.8%
Draw
21.7%
Away win
58.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 19.8% | 5.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Bayern München | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.3% | 23.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.5% | 6.46 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / Bayern München | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayern München | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.3
|
7.4
|
8.4
|
5.9
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
3.8
|
9.8
|
9.8
|
6.9
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
5.4
|
5.7
|
4.0
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
2.1
|
2.2
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
FSV Mainz 05
3-4
Bayern München
Dec 2025
Bayern München
2-2
FSV Mainz 05
Apr 2025
Bayern München
3-0
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2024
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
Bayern München
Mar 2024
Bayern München
8-1
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2023
FSV Mainz 05
1-3
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.