Wednesday 5 April 2017, 21:00
Opel Arena
Full time
29%
26%
45%
Home win
29.0%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
45.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.4% | 4.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.2% | 5.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / RB Leipzig | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / RB Leipzig | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
8.2
|
7.3
|
4.0
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
12.0
|
9.3
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.4
|
7.2
|
5.9
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
3.1
|
2.5
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
RB Leipzig
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2025
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
RB Leipzig
Mar 2025
RB Leipzig
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2024
FSV Mainz 05
0-2
RB Leipzig
Mar 2024
RB Leipzig
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2023
FSV Mainz 05
2-0
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.