Friday 10 March 2017, 21:30
BayArena
Full time
58%
21%
21%
Home win
58.3%
Draw
20.5%
Away win
21.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.5% | 4.87 | — | — |
| Werder Bremen | 21.2% | 4.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 32.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.6% | 8.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| No | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / Werder Bremen | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw / Werder Bremen | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
3.0
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.5
|
8.6
|
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
9.3
|
6.3
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
7.1
|
4.8
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
4.1
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.9
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0
Werder Bremen
Aug 2025
Werder Bremen
3-3
Bayer Leverkusen
Mar 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
0-2
Werder Bremen
Oct 2024
Werder Bremen
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
Apr 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
5-0
Werder Bremen
Nov 2023
Werder Bremen
0-3
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.