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Saturday 15 April 2017, 19:30 BayArena Full time
12% 20% 68%
Home win
12.2%
Draw
19.5%
Away win
68.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 12.2% 8.18
Draw 19.5% 5.12
Bayern München 68.3% 1.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.8% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.2% 19.08
Over 1.5 81.4% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.6% 5.38
Over 2.5 58.9% 1.70
Under 2.5 41.1% 2.43
Over 3.5 36.5% 2.74
Under 3.5 63.5% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.4% 5.16
Under 4.5 80.6% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.0% 1.96
No 49.0% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 31.7% 3.15
Bayer Leverkusen / Bayern München 80.5% 1.24
Draw / Bayern München 87.8% 1.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.2
9.9
11.6
8.6
4.8
2.1
1
3.4
9.3
9.7
7.2
4.0
1.8
2
1.7
3.7
4.1
3.0
1.7
0.7
3
0.5
1.0
1.1
0.8
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: Bayern München goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.