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Saturday 20 May 2017, 16:30 Allianz Arena Full time
89% 8% 3%
Home win
89.0%
Draw
8.3%
Away win
2.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 89.0% 1.12
Draw 8.3% 12.03
SC Freiburg 2.7% 37.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.5% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.5% 39.95
Over 1.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.7% 9.37
Over 2.5 72.8% 1.37
Under 2.5 27.2% 3.68
Over 3.5 52.3% 1.91
Under 3.5 47.7% 2.09
Over 4.5 32.8% 3.05
Under 4.5 67.2% 1.49

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.1% 2.63
No 61.9% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 97.3% 1.03
Bayern München / SC Freiburg 91.7% 1.09
Draw / SC Freiburg 11.0% 9.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.5
0.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
7.3
4.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
12.3
6.1
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
13.4
6.7
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
11.0
5.5
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
7.2
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.