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Saturday 13 May 2017, 16:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
24% 28% 48%
Home win
24.2%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
47.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 24.2% 4.13
Draw 27.8% 3.59
Bayern München 47.9% 2.09

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.56
Over 1.5 70.8% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.2% 3.42
Over 2.5 44.1% 2.27
Under 2.5 55.9% 1.79
Over 3.5 23.0% 4.36
Under 3.5 77.0% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.1% 9.91
Under 4.5 89.9% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.6% 2.06
No 51.4% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 52.1% 1.92
RB Leipzig / Bayern München 72.2% 1.39
Draw / Bayern München 75.8% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
12.1
9.4
4.6
1.7
0.5
1
7.7
13.2
9.1
4.5
1.6
0.5
2
4.1
6.0
4.4
2.2
0.8
0.2
3
1.3
2.0
1.4
0.7
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: Bayern München goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.