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Saturday 6 May 2017, 16:30 Allianz Arena Full time
93% 6% 1%
Home win
93.2%
Draw
5.5%
Away win
1.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 93.2% 1.07
Draw 5.5% 18.16
SV Darmstadt 98 1.3% 77.52

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.0% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.0% 50.43
Over 1.5 91.0% 1.10
Under 1.5 9.0% 11.07
Over 2.5 76.1% 1.31
Under 2.5 23.9% 4.19
Over 3.5 56.6% 1.77
Under 3.5 43.4% 2.30
Over 4.5 37.0% 2.70
Under 4.5 63.0% 1.59

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 30.0% 3.34
No 70.0% 1.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 98.7% 1.01
Bayern München / SV Darmstadt 98 94.5% 1.06
Draw / SV Darmstadt 98 6.8% 14.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
6.5
2.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
12.1
4.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
14.7
5.4
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
13.3
4.9
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
9.7
3.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: SV Darmstadt 98 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.