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Saturday 22 April 2017, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
61% 24% 15%
Home win
61.2%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
15.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 61.2% 1.64
Draw 23.7% 4.22
SV Darmstadt 98 15.1% 6.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.45
Over 1.5 74.0% 1.35
Under 1.5 26.0% 3.84
Over 2.5 48.3% 2.07
Under 2.5 51.7% 1.93
Over 3.5 26.5% 3.77
Under 3.5 73.5% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.3% 8.12
Under 4.5 87.7% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.3% 2.16
No 53.7% 1.86

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 84.9% 1.18
Hamburger SV / SV Darmstadt 98 76.3% 1.31
Draw / SV Darmstadt 98 38.9% 2.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
5.2
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
12.8
11.2
4.2
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.2
9.6
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
7.4
5.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.4
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: SV Darmstadt 98 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.