Saturday 22 April 2017, 16:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
89%
9%
3%
Home win
88.6%
Draw
8.7%
Away win
2.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 8.7% | 11.43 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 2.7% | 37.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.3% | 8.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| No | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 97.3% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Bayern München / FSV Mainz 05 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 11.4% | 8.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.3
|
4.1
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.5
|
6.2
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
14.1
|
6.5
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
11.1
|
5.1
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
7.0
|
3.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
FSV Mainz 05
3-4
Bayern München
Dec 2025
Bayern München
2-2
FSV Mainz 05
Apr 2025
Bayern München
3-0
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2024
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
Bayern München
Mar 2024
Bayern München
8-1
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2023
FSV Mainz 05
1-3
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.