Saturday 29 April 2017, 16:30
Red Bull Arena
Full time
76%
16%
8%
Home win
76.0%
Draw
15.6%
Away win
8.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 8.4% | 11.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 25.21 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.0% | 6.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.4% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 84.4% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.7
|
7.4
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.8
|
9.0
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.1
|
7.7
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.5
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.4
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.