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Saturday 15 April 2017, 16:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
44% 29% 27%
Home win
44.2%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
26.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 44.2% 2.26
Draw 28.9% 3.46
FC Ingolstadt 04 26.9% 3.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.8% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.2% 9.84
Over 1.5 69.2% 1.45
Under 1.5 30.8% 3.24
Over 2.5 42.1% 2.37
Under 2.5 57.9% 1.73
Over 3.5 21.4% 4.67
Under 3.5 78.6% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.2% 10.92
Under 4.5 90.8% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.9% 2.09
No 52.1% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 73.1% 1.37
VfL Wolfsburg / FC Ingolstadt 04 71.1% 1.41
Draw / FC Ingolstadt 04 55.8% 1.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.2
8.7
4.7
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
12.0
13.6
6.4
2.2
0.5
0.1
2
8.7
8.7
4.4
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
3.9
4.0
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.3
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: FC Ingolstadt 04 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.