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Saturday 15 April 2017, 16:30 Red Bull Arena Full time
70% 18% 12%
Home win
70.0%
Draw
18.2%
Away win
11.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 70.0% 1.43
Draw 18.2% 5.50
SC Freiburg 11.8% 8.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.64
Over 1.5 84.4% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.6% 6.42
Over 2.5 63.7% 1.57
Under 2.5 36.3% 2.76
Over 3.5 41.6% 2.40
Under 3.5 58.4% 1.71
Over 4.5 23.4% 4.27
Under 4.5 76.6% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.2% 1.84
No 45.8% 2.18

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 88.2% 1.13
RB Leipzig / SC Freiburg 81.8% 1.22
Draw / SC Freiburg 30.0% 3.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
2.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
8.5
8.5
3.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
10.7
9.6
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
8.5
7.6
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
5.1
4.5
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
2.4
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.