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Saturday 1 April 2017, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
50% 23% 26%
Home win
50.3%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
26.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 50.3% 1.99
Draw 23.3% 4.29
Werder Bremen 26.4% 3.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.7% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.3% 23.20
Over 1.5 84.6% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.4% 6.50
Over 2.5 63.9% 1.57
Under 2.5 36.1% 2.77
Over 3.5 41.8% 2.39
Under 3.5 58.2% 1.72
Over 4.5 23.6% 4.24
Under 4.5 76.4% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.1% 1.56
No 35.9% 2.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 73.6% 1.36
SC Freiburg / Werder Bremen 76.7% 1.30
Draw / Werder Bremen 49.7% 2.01

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.3
4.5
3.4
1.6
0.5
0.1
1
6.6
10.4
6.6
3.0
1.0
0.3
2
6.9
9.4
6.4
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
4.5
6.1
4.1
1.9
0.6
0.2
4
2.2
2.9
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
5
0.8
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.