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Saturday 20 May 2017, 16:30 Olympiastadion Full time
49% 26% 25%
Home win
48.9%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
24.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 48.9% 2.04
Draw 26.3% 3.80
Bayer Leverkusen 24.7% 4.04

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.13
Over 1.5 75.4% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.6% 4.06
Over 2.5 50.0% 2.00
Under 2.5 50.0% 2.00
Over 3.5 28.0% 3.57
Under 3.5 72.0% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.3% 7.51
Under 4.5 86.7% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.2% 1.88
No 46.8% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 75.3% 1.33
Hertha Berlin / Bayer Leverkusen 73.7% 1.36
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 51.1% 1.96

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
6.7
4.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
1
10.3
12.6
6.4
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
8.8
9.5
5.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
4.7
5.1
2.7
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.9
2.0
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.