Saturday 29 April 2017, 16:30
Weser-Stadion
Full time
48%
25%
26%
Home win
48.4%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
26.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Hertha Berlin | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.48 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.1% | 5.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen / Draw | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Werder Bremen / Hertha Berlin | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Hertha Berlin | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
5.9
|
4.0
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
11.8
|
6.8
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.9
|
9.5
|
5.8
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
5.4
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
2.3
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
Hertha Berlin
2-4
Werder Bremen
Oct 2022
Werder Bremen
1-0
Hertha Berlin
Jan 2021
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Werder Bremen
Sep 2020
Werder Bremen
1-4
Hertha Berlin
Mar 2020
Hertha Berlin
2-2
Werder Bremen
Oct 2019
Werder Bremen
1-1
Hertha Berlin
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.