Skip to content
Friday 31 March 2017, 21:30 Olympiastadion Full time
37% 28% 34%
Home win
37.3%
Draw
28.3%
Away win
34.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 37.3% 2.68
Draw 28.3% 3.53
1899 Hoffenheim 34.4% 2.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.49
Over 1.5 72.7% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.3% 3.66
Over 2.5 46.5% 2.15
Under 2.5 53.5% 1.87
Over 3.5 25.0% 4.01
Under 3.5 75.1% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.3% 8.83
Under 4.5 88.7% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.3% 1.91
No 47.7% 2.10

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 65.6% 1.53
Hertha Berlin / 1899 Hoffenheim 71.7% 1.39
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 62.7% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
9.1
6.1
2.5
0.8
0.2
1
9.5
13.5
7.9
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
6.7
8.3
5.1
2.1
0.7
0.2
3
2.9
3.6
2.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.9
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.