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Saturday 18 March 2017, 16:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
44% 30% 26%
Home win
44.0%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
26.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 44.0% 2.27
Draw 29.6% 3.37
Hertha Berlin 26.3% 3.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.91
Over 1.5 66.7% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.3% 3.01
Over 2.5 39.3% 2.54
Under 2.5 60.7% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.2% 5.20
Under 3.5 80.8% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.65
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.6% 2.20
No 54.4% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 73.7% 1.36
1. FC Köln / Hertha Berlin 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Hertha Berlin 56.0% 1.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
9.2
4.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
12.9
13.8
6.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.9
8.5
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.9
3.7
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.3
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.