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Saturday 26 August 2017, 16:30 Mercedes-Benz Arena Full time
VfB Stuttgart
1–0
HT 0–0
FSV Mainz 05
41% 28% 31%
Home win
40.8%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
30.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart 40.8% 2.45 — —
Draw 28.4% 3.53 — —
FSV Mainz 05 30.8% 3.24 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10 — —
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.14 — —
Over 1.5 72.0% 1.39 — —
Under 1.5 28.0% 3.57 — —
Over 2.5 45.6% 2.19 — —
Under 2.5 54.4% 1.84 — —
Over 3.5 24.2% 4.13 — —
Under 3.5 75.8% 1.32 — —
Over 4.5 10.9% 9.20 — —
Under 4.5 89.1% 1.12 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.3% 1.95 — —
No 48.7% 2.05 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart / Draw 69.2% 1.45 — —
VfB Stuttgart / FSV Mainz 05 71.6% 1.40 — —
Draw / FSV Mainz 05 59.2% 1.69 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
8.6
5.4
2.1
0.6
0.1
1
10.4
13.5
7.3
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
7.5
8.6
4.9
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
3.4
3.9
2.2
0.9
0.2
0.1
4
1.2
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfB Stuttgart goals. Columns: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

VfB Stuttgart
L
FSV Mainz 05
L D W L L

Head to head

Mar 2026 FSV Mainz 05 2-2 VfB Stuttgart Oct 2025 VfB Stuttgart 2-1 FSV Mainz 05 Jan 2025 FSV Mainz 05 2-0 VfB Stuttgart Aug 2024 VfB Stuttgart 3-3 FSV Mainz 05 Feb 2024 VfB Stuttgart 3-1 FSV Mainz 05 Sep 2023 FSV Mainz 05 1-3 VfB Stuttgart

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.