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Saturday 20 May 2017, 16:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
58% 23% 19%
Home win
57.6%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
19.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 57.6% 1.74
Draw 23.2% 4.31
FSV Mainz 05 19.2% 5.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 17.04
Over 1.5 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 20.1% 4.98
Over 2.5 56.5% 1.77
Under 2.5 43.5% 2.30
Over 3.5 34.1% 2.93
Under 3.5 65.9% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.6% 5.68
Under 4.5 82.4% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.4% 1.80
No 44.6% 2.24

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 80.8% 1.24
1. FC Köln / FSV Mainz 05 76.8% 1.30
Draw / FSV Mainz 05 42.4% 2.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
4.8
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.1
1
9.5
11.0
5.3
1.8
0.5
0.1
2
9.7
9.9
5.1
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
6.2
6.4
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
3.0
3.1
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.