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Friday 21 April 2017, 21:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
37% 26% 36%
Home win
37.3%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
36.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 37.3% 2.68
Draw 26.3% 3.81
1899 Hoffenheim 36.5% 2.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.7% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.3% 15.86
Over 1.5 78.9% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.1% 4.75
Over 2.5 55.0% 1.82
Under 2.5 45.0% 2.22
Over 3.5 32.6% 3.07
Under 3.5 67.4% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.5% 6.06
Under 4.5 83.5% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.9% 1.70
No 41.1% 2.44

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 63.5% 1.57
1. FC Köln / 1899 Hoffenheim 73.7% 1.36
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 62.7% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.3
7.3
5.7
2.7
1.0
0.3
1
7.4
12.3
8.3
4.0
1.4
0.4
2
5.9
8.4
6.0
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
2.8
4.1
2.9
1.4
0.5
0.1
4
1.0
1.5
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.