Saturday 29 April 2017, 16:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
66%
19%
15%
Home win
66.2%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
14.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.2% | 5.20 | — | — |
| 1. FC Köln | 14.6% | 6.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.6% | 6.87 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.0% | 4.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / 1. FC Köln | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / 1. FC Köln | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
3.0
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
8.8
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.7
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.4
|
7.6
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.3
|
4.4
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.0
|
2.1
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
1. FC Köln
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
1. FC Köln
Jan 2024
1. FC Köln
0-4
Borussia Dortmund
Aug 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
1. FC Köln
Mar 2023
Borussia Dortmund
6-1
1. FC Köln
Oct 2022
1. FC Köln
3-2
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.