Saturday 26 August 2017, 16:30
BayArena
Full time
32%
25%
43%
Home win
31.9%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
42.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.4% | 18.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.7% | 5.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.2% | 5.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen / Draw | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen / 1899 Hoffenheim | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.4
|
7.2
|
6.5
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
6.0
|
11.6
|
9.0
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.7
|
7.7
|
6.3
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
3.6
|
2.9
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.2
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
1899 Hoffenheim
1-0
Bayer Leverkusen
Aug 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2
1899 Hoffenheim
Feb 2025
Bayer Leverkusen
3-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Sep 2024
1899 Hoffenheim
1-4
Bayer Leverkusen
Mar 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Nov 2023
1899 Hoffenheim
2-3
Bayer Leverkusen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.