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Saturday 20 May 2017, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
73% 17% 10%
Home win
73.4%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
9.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 73.4% 1.36
Draw 17.1% 5.85
FC Augsburg 9.6% 10.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.13
Over 1.5 83.4% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.6% 6.02
Over 2.5 62.1% 1.61
Under 2.5 37.9% 2.64
Over 3.5 39.8% 2.51
Under 3.5 60.2% 1.66
Over 4.5 22.0% 4.54
Under 4.5 78.0% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.7% 2.01
No 50.3% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 90.4% 1.11
1899 Hoffenheim / FC Augsburg 82.9% 1.21
Draw / FC Augsburg 26.7% 3.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
2.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
9.4
8.1
3.0
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.0
9.3
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
9.7
7.5
2.9
0.8
0.1
0.0
4
5.9
4.6
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
2.9
2.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.