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Saturday 13 May 2017, 16:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
35% 24% 41%
Home win
35.1%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
41.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 35.1% 2.85
Draw 23.6% 4.24
1899 Hoffenheim 41.3% 2.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.48
Over 1.5 86.3% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.7% 7.31
Over 2.5 66.8% 1.50
Under 2.5 33.2% 3.01
Over 3.5 45.0% 2.22
Under 3.5 55.0% 1.82
Over 4.5 26.3% 3.80
Under 4.5 73.7% 1.36

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.9% 1.47
No 32.1% 3.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 58.7% 1.70
Werder Bremen / 1899 Hoffenheim 76.4% 1.31
Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim 64.9% 1.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
5.2
5.2
3.1
1.4
0.5
1
4.7
10.0
8.5
5.1
2.3
0.8
2
4.3
7.8
7.0
4.2
1.9
0.7
3
2.4
4.3
3.8
2.3
1.0
0.4
4
1.0
1.8
1.6
0.9
0.4
0.2
5
0.3
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.1
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.