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Saturday 19 August 2017, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
67% 18% 15%
Home win
67.0%
Draw
17.6%
Away win
15.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 67.0% 1.49
Draw 17.6% 5.69
Werder Bremen 15.5% 6.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.6% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.4% 41.27
Over 1.5 90.5% 1.11
Under 1.5 9.5% 10.52
Over 2.5 74.7% 1.34
Under 2.5 25.3% 3.95
Over 3.5 54.7% 1.83
Under 3.5 45.3% 2.21
Over 4.5 35.2% 2.84
Under 4.5 64.8% 1.54

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 66.7% 1.50
No 33.3% 3.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 84.5% 1.18
1899 Hoffenheim / Werder Bremen 82.4% 1.21
Draw / Werder Bremen 33.0% 3.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.4
2.1
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.1
1
5.0
7.1
4.2
1.7
0.5
0.1
2
7.1
8.9
5.5
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
6.3
7.9
4.9
2.0
0.6
0.2
4
4.2
5.2
3.3
1.4
0.4
0.1
5
2.2
2.8
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.1
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.