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Saturday 30 September 2017, 16:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
43% 28% 29%
Home win
43.4%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
28.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 43.4% 2.30
Draw 28.1% 3.56
FSV Mainz 05 28.5% 3.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.1% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.9% 11.25
Over 1.5 72.2% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.8% 3.60
Over 2.5 45.9% 2.18
Under 2.5 54.1% 1.85
Over 3.5 24.4% 4.09
Under 3.5 75.6% 1.32
Over 4.5 11.0% 9.09
Under 4.5 89.0% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.1% 1.96
No 48.9% 2.05

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 71.5% 1.40
VfL Wolfsburg / FSV Mainz 05 71.9% 1.39
Draw / FSV Mainz 05 56.6% 1.77

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.9
8.2
4.9
1.8
0.5
0.1
1
10.7
13.4
6.9
2.5
0.7
0.2
2
8.1
8.9
4.9
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
3.8
4.2
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.1
4
1.3
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.