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Friday 22 September 2017, 21:30 Allianz Arena Full time
87% 10% 3%
Home win
87.0%
Draw
10.0%
Away win
3.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 87.0% 1.15
Draw 10.0% 10.02
VfL Wolfsburg 3.0% 32.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.4% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.6% 27.56
Over 1.5 85.5% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.5% 6.89
Over 2.5 65.9% 1.52
Under 2.5 34.1% 2.93
Over 3.5 44.0% 2.27
Under 3.5 56.0% 1.79
Over 4.5 25.4% 3.93
Under 4.5 74.6% 1.34

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.3% 2.91
No 65.7% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 97.0% 1.03
Bayern München / VfL Wolfsburg 90.0% 1.11
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 13.0% 7.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.6
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
9.6
4.7
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
14.6
6.5
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
14.3
6.4
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
10.6
4.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
6.2
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.