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Saturday 16 September 2017, 16:30 Mercedes-Benz Arena Full time
45% 29% 26%
Home win
45.2%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
25.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart 45.2% 2.21
Draw 29.0% 3.45
VfL Wolfsburg 25.8% 3.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.5% 9.55
Over 1.5 68.4% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.6% 3.17
Over 2.5 41.3% 2.42
Under 2.5 58.7% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.7% 4.82
Under 3.5 79.3% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.42
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.9% 2.13
No 53.1% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfB Stuttgart / Draw 74.2% 1.35
VfB Stuttgart / VfL Wolfsburg 71.0% 1.41
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 54.8% 1.83

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.5
8.6
4.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
12.5
13.6
6.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.0
8.7
4.2
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
4.1
4.0
1.9
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
1.4
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfB Stuttgart goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.