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Saturday 19 August 2017, 16:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
22% 25% 53%
Home win
22.3%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
53.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 22.3% 4.48
Draw 24.7% 4.05
Borussia Dortmund 53.0% 1.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.6% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.4% 15.51
Over 1.5 78.4% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.6% 4.63
Over 2.5 54.2% 1.84
Under 2.5 45.8% 2.19
Over 3.5 31.9% 3.13
Under 3.5 68.1% 1.47
Over 4.5 16.0% 6.24
Under 4.5 84.0% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.4% 1.80
No 44.6% 2.24

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 47.0% 2.13
VfL Wolfsburg / Borussia Dortmund 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 77.7% 1.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.4
9.6
9.1
5.4
2.4
0.8
1
5.6
11.7
9.8
5.8
2.6
0.9
2
3.4
5.9
5.3
3.1
1.4
0.5
3
1.2
2.1
1.9
1.1
0.5
0.2
4
0.3
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.