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Saturday 20 May 2017, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
40% 30% 31%
Home win
39.8%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
30.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 39.8% 2.51
Draw 29.6% 3.38
VfL Wolfsburg 30.6% 3.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.6% 9.47
Over 1.5 68.3% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.7% 3.15
Over 2.5 41.1% 2.44
Under 2.5 58.9% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.6% 4.86
Under 3.5 79.4% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.7% 11.53
Under 4.5 91.3% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.8% 2.09
No 52.2% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 69.4% 1.44
Hamburger SV / VfL Wolfsburg 70.4% 1.42
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 60.2% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.6
9.7
5.6
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
11.5
13.9
7.0
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
7.7
8.2
4.4
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
3.2
3.5
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.0
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.