Saturday 16 September 2017, 16:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
85%
11%
4%
Home win
84.7%
Draw
11.0%
Away win
4.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 11.0% | 9.13 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 4.3% | 23.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.1% | 32.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.4% | 8.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.0% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 95.7% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Bayern München / FSV Mainz 05 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 15.3% | 6.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
5.2
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
7.4
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.4
|
7.3
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.3
|
5.5
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.5
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
FSV Mainz 05
3-4
Bayern München
Dec 2025
Bayern München
2-2
FSV Mainz 05
Apr 2025
Bayern München
3-0
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2024
FSV Mainz 05
2-1
Bayern München
Mar 2024
Bayern München
8-1
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2023
FSV Mainz 05
1-3
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.