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Tuesday 19 September 2017, 21:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
36% 26% 38%
Home win
36.2%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
38.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 36.2% 2.76
Draw 25.6% 3.91
Werder Bremen 38.2% 2.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.81
Over 1.5 80.9% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.1% 5.22
Over 2.5 57.8% 1.73
Under 2.5 42.2% 2.37
Over 3.5 35.4% 2.82
Under 3.5 64.6% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.6% 5.38
Under 4.5 81.4% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.1% 1.64
No 38.9% 2.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 61.8% 1.62
VfL Wolfsburg / Werder Bremen 74.4% 1.34
Draw / Werder Bremen 63.8% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
6.9
5.8
2.9
1.1
0.3
1
6.7
11.8
8.5
4.3
1.7
0.5
2
5.4
8.3
6.3
3.2
1.2
0.4
3
2.7
4.1
3.1
1.6
0.6
0.2
4
1.0
1.5
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: Werder Bremen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.