Wednesday 20 September 2017, 21:30
Opel Arena
Full time
26%
26%
48%
Home win
25.9%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
47.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.85 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / 1899 Hoffenheim | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
9.8
|
8.4
|
4.5
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
12.5
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
4.1
|
6.6
|
5.3
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
2.5
|
2.0
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
1899 Hoffenheim
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2025
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Apr 2025
1899 Hoffenheim
2-0
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2024
FSV Mainz 05
2-0
1899 Hoffenheim
Apr 2024
FSV Mainz 05
4-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Nov 2023
1899 Hoffenheim
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.