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Sunday 17 September 2017, 14:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
66% 21% 13%
Home win
66.2%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
12.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 66.2% 1.51
Draw 21.3% 4.70
Hertha Berlin 12.6% 7.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.70
Over 1.5 77.1% 1.30
Under 1.5 22.9% 4.36
Over 2.5 52.5% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.5% 2.10
Over 3.5 30.3% 3.30
Under 3.5 69.7% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.9% 6.73
Under 4.5 85.1% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.7% 2.14
No 53.3% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 87.4% 1.14
1899 Hoffenheim / Hertha Berlin 78.7% 1.27
Draw / Hertha Berlin 33.8% 2.96

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
4.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
12.0
10.1
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.7
9.6
3.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
8.5
6.5
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
4.3
3.3
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.7
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.