Saturday 23 September 2017, 16:30
Opel Arena
Full time
42%
28%
30%
Home win
41.9%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
30.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Hertha Berlin | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.4% | 11.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.8% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.9% | 8.42 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / Hertha Berlin | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Hertha Berlin | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.4
|
8.1
|
5.2
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.0
|
13.3
|
7.3
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.6
|
8.8
|
5.1
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
4.1
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2023
Hertha Berlin
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2022
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Hertha Berlin
May 2022
Hertha Berlin
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2021
FSV Mainz 05
4-0
Hertha Berlin
May 2021
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Dec 2020
Hertha Berlin
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.