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Wednesday 20 September 2017, 21:30 Olympiastadion Full time
45% 26% 29%
Home win
45.1%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
29.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 45.1% 2.22
Draw 25.7% 3.90
Bayer Leverkusen 29.3% 3.42

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.30
Over 1.5 79.4% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.6% 4.85
Over 2.5 55.6% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.4% 2.25
Over 3.5 33.2% 3.01
Under 3.5 66.8% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.0% 5.89
Under 4.5 83.0% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.7% 1.70
No 41.3% 2.42

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 70.7% 1.41
Hertha Berlin / Bayer Leverkusen 74.3% 1.35
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 54.9% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
6.3
4.4
1.9
0.6
0.2
1
8.2
12.0
7.3
3.1
1.0
0.3
2
7.3
9.3
5.9
2.5
0.8
0.2
3
4.0
5.0
3.2
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
1.6
2.1
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.5
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.