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Sunday 17 September 2017, 16:30 BayArena Full time
60% 21% 19%
Home win
59.7%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
18.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 59.7% 1.67
Draw 21.3% 4.69
SC Freiburg 18.9% 5.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.7% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.3% 23.52
Over 1.5 84.6% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.4% 6.51
Over 2.5 64.0% 1.56
Under 2.5 36.0% 2.78
Over 3.5 41.9% 2.39
Under 3.5 58.1% 1.72
Over 4.5 23.7% 4.23
Under 4.5 76.3% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.8% 1.64
No 39.2% 2.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 81.1% 1.23
Bayer Leverkusen / SC Freiburg 78.7% 1.27
Draw / SC Freiburg 40.3% 2.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.3
3.7
2.4
0.9
0.3
0.1
1
7.4
9.7
5.2
2.0
0.6
0.1
2
8.6
9.8
5.6
2.1
0.6
0.1
3
6.1
7.0
4.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
4
3.3
3.8
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.1
5
1.4
1.6
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.