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Saturday 9 September 2017, 16:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
22% 23% 56%
Home win
21.5%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
55.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 21.5% 4.64
Draw 22.7% 4.41
Borussia Dortmund 55.8% 1.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.16
Over 1.5 83.3% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.7% 5.98
Over 2.5 61.7% 1.62
Under 2.5 38.3% 2.61
Over 3.5 39.4% 2.54
Under 3.5 60.6% 1.65
Over 4.5 21.7% 4.62
Under 4.5 78.3% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.6% 1.65
No 39.4% 2.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 44.2% 2.26
SC Freiburg / Borussia Dortmund 77.3% 1.29
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 78.5% 1.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
7.7
8.3
5.5
2.8
1.1
1
4.3
10.4
9.8
6.5
3.3
1.3
2
2.9
5.8
5.8
3.9
1.9
0.8
3
1.1
2.3
2.3
1.5
0.8
0.3
4
0.3
0.7
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.