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Wednesday 20 September 2017, 21:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
Hamburger SV
0–3
HT 0–1
Borussia Dortmund
18% 23% 59%
Home win
17.9%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
59.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 17.9% 5.58 — —
Draw 22.8% 4.38 — —
Borussia Dortmund 59.2% 1.69 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06 — —
Under 0.5 5.9% 16.82 — —
Over 1.5 79.6% 1.26 — —
Under 1.5 20.4% 4.91 — —
Over 2.5 56.1% 1.78 — —
Under 2.5 43.9% 2.28 — —
Over 3.5 33.7% 2.96 — —
Under 3.5 66.3% 1.51 — —
Over 4.5 17.3% 5.77 — —
Under 4.5 82.7% 1.21 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.3% 1.84 — —
No 45.7% 2.19 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 40.8% 2.45 — —
Hamburger SV / Borussia Dortmund 77.2% 1.30 — —
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 82.1% 1.22 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
9.8
10.1
6.6
3.2
1.2
1
4.6
10.8
9.9
6.5
3.1
1.2
2
2.6
5.0
4.9
3.2
1.5
0.6
3
0.8
1.6
1.6
1.0
0.5
0.2
4
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Hamburger SV
W W W L L
Borussia Dortmund
W W W D W

Head to head

Mar 2026 Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Hamburger SV Nov 2025 Hamburger SV 1-1 Borussia Dortmund Feb 2018 Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburger SV Apr 2017 Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Hamburger SV Nov 2016 Hamburger SV 2-5 Borussia Dortmund

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.