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Saturday 10 February 2018, 16:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
Borussia Dortmund
2–0
HT 0–0
Hamburger SV
76% 16% 9%
Home win
75.9%
Draw
15.6%
Away win
8.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 75.9% 1.32 — —
Draw 15.6% 6.43 — —
Hamburger SV 8.5% 11.76 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.18 — —
Over 1.5 85.5% 1.17 — —
Under 1.5 14.5% 6.90 — —
Over 2.5 65.6% 1.52 — —
Under 2.5 34.4% 2.91 — —
Over 3.5 43.7% 2.29 — —
Under 3.5 56.3% 1.78 — —
Over 4.5 25.2% 3.97 — —
Under 4.5 74.8% 1.34 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.6% 1.98 — —
No 49.4% 2.02 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 91.5% 1.09 — —
Borussia Dortmund / Hamburger SV 84.4% 1.18 — —
Draw / Hamburger SV 24.1% 4.16 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
8.4
7.3
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
11.5
9.0
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
10.0
7.8
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
6.5
5.1
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
3.4
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: Hamburger SV goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Borussia Dortmund
W D D D W
Hamburger SV
L L L D D

Head to head

Mar 2026 Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Hamburger SV Nov 2025 Hamburger SV 1-1 Borussia Dortmund Sep 2017 Hamburger SV 0-3 Borussia Dortmund Apr 2017 Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Hamburger SV Nov 2016 Hamburger SV 2-5 Borussia Dortmund

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.