Saturday 27 January 2018, 16:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
76%
15%
10%
Home win
75.5%
Draw
14.9%
Away win
9.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.9% | 6.69 | — | — |
| SC Freiburg | 9.5% | 10.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.8% | 36.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.9% | 9.15 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.0% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / SC Freiburg | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / SC Freiburg | 24.5% | 4.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.8
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.3
|
6.6
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
8.8
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
8.2
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
6.1
|
5.7
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.4
|
3.2
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
SC Freiburg
Dec 2025
SC Freiburg
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
Apr 2025
SC Freiburg
1-4
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
SC Freiburg
Feb 2024
Borussia Dortmund
3-0
SC Freiburg
Sep 2023
SC Freiburg
2-4
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.