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Saturday 27 January 2018, 16:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
76% 15% 10%
Home win
75.5%
Draw
14.9%
Away win
9.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 75.5% 1.32
Draw 14.9% 6.69
SC Freiburg 9.5% 10.50

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.2% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.8% 36.19
Over 1.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.9% 9.15
Over 2.5 72.0% 1.39
Under 2.5 28.0% 3.58
Over 3.5 51.3% 1.95
Under 3.5 48.7% 2.05
Over 4.5 32.0% 3.13
Under 4.5 68.0% 1.47

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.6% 1.74
No 42.4% 2.36

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 90.5% 1.11
Borussia Dortmund / SC Freiburg 85.1% 1.18
Draw / SC Freiburg 24.5% 4.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.8
1.9
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
6.3
6.6
2.9
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
9.3
8.8
4.1
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
8.7
8.2
3.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
6.1
5.7
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
5
3.4
3.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.