Saturday 9 December 2017, 16:30
Signal Iduna Park
Full time
72%
16%
13%
Home win
71.6%
Draw
15.8%
Away win
12.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.8% | 6.33 | — | — |
| Werder Bremen | 12.6% | 7.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.2% | 46.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.3% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.7% | 11.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| No | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / Werder Bremen | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Werder Bremen | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.2
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.8
|
6.4
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
8.5
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.9
|
8.1
|
4.7
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
5.8
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
2.8
|
3.3
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Werder Bremen
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Jan 2026
Borussia Dortmund
3-0
Werder Bremen
Jan 2025
Borussia Dortmund
2-2
Werder Bremen
Aug 2024
Werder Bremen
0-0
Borussia Dortmund
Mar 2024
Werder Bremen
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
Werder Bremen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.